Mainz – Leverkusen
Since the start of december last year Mainz’ victories have been far and few between. 12 home matches have only yielded two wins (against poor opposition) and eight losses.
Having started the season poorly with only two goals scored and 11 conceded they’ve placed themselves firmly in the bottom three as I predicted in my table prediction. Leverkusen have three draws, but should be vastly better than this Mainz-side.
Leverkusen have won six and only lost one of their last six trips to bottom 6 sides in the league. Mainz on the other hand have lost four of the last five home games to top 6 sides. Leverkusen should have more than enough to beat this Mainz-side.
Betting tip: Leverkusen to win @ 1.65 (Betsafe)
Mönchengladbach – Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg started the season poorly with only a win from five games. Having lost out on sixth spot in the last game of the season, they had to go through qualification to get to the Europa League group stages, but they lost away to AEK Athens. So now they go into the season with no European football. They’ve drawn all three matches so far, and only Mainz, Schalke and Bielefeld have amassed fewer excpected goals with 3.01 xG according to understat.com.
Only Bayern München were better than Gladbach at home last season. 12 wins, two draws and three defeats is an impressive haul for Marco Rose.
Wolfsburg have struggled when visiting top 6 sides in the last few years. Last season they lost 0-3 to Gladbach, 0-6 to Bayern as well as 0-2 to Dortmund and Leipzig. I think they’ll lose here, and Gladbach have decent odds right now.
Betting tip: Gladbach to win @ 1.89 (SBOBet)
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